It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic...

A combinatorical problem is said to be of high computational complexity, if it can be shown that every efficient algorithm needs a high amount of resources as measured in Computing time or storage capacity. This paper will (1) introduce some basic concepts of mathematical complexity theory; (2)...

A combinatorical problem is said to be of high computational complexity, if it can be shown that every efficient algorithm needs a high amount of resources as measured in Computing time or storage capacity. This paper will (1) introduce some basic concepts of mathematical complexity theory; (2)...

Aggregation may be harmful but cannot always be avoided in the analysis of complex econometric models. It should be carried out intelligently by choosing ein aggregative model optimally for modes of aggregation speeified in advance, i.e. minimizing the bias introduced by aggregation and...