The mean residual life function (mrlf) of a subject is defined as the expected remaining (residual) lifetime of the subject given that the subject has survived up to a given time point. It is well known that under mild regularity conditions, an mrlf determines the probability distribution...

This paper investigates the EKC curves for CO2 emissions in a panel of 109 countries during the period 1959-2001. The length of the series makes the application of a heterogeneous estimator suitable from an econometric point of view. The results, based on the hierarchical Bayes estimator, show...

Explores a unique approach to performance measurement based on the Bayes theorem.

In this paper, we relax the assumption of constant regime-specific mean growth rates in Hamilton's (1989) two-state Markov-switching model of the business cycle. We first present a benchmark model, in which each regime-specific mean growth rate evolves according to a random walk process over...

In any manufacturing process, identification of changes in the process conditions is of great interest. Recently, a Bayesian approach for the identification of the change in process mean was proposed assuming that the response of interest follow an exponential family distribution. In this...

This paper presents several "ex ante" simulation exercises of the 2014 FIFA World Cup. Specifically, we estimate the probabilities of each national team advancing to different stages, using a basic Bayesian approach based on conjugate families. In particular, we use the Categorical-Dirichlet...

We present a Bayesian framework based on the finite hierarchies of beliefs to study the decision problems in strategic form games. The model allows us to analyze the behavior of bounded rational players as well as that of fully rational players. We define the degree of ``boundedness'' by the...

This paper estimates a small open economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model for Pakistan using Bayesian simulation approach. Model setup is based on new Keynesian framework, characterized by nominal rigidity in prices with habit formation in household’s consumption. The core...

This paper estimates a small open economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model for Pakistan using Bayesian simulation approach. Model setup is based on new Keynesian framework, characterised by nominal rigidity in prices with habit formation in household’s consumption. The core...

In this paper, we present a Bayesian methodology for modelling accelerated lifetime tests under a stress response relationship with a threshold stress. Both Laplace and MCMC methods are considered. The methodology is described in detail for the case when an exponential distribution is assumed to...