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feature the unique characters of China's economy compared with that in the US and the Euro area. The simulation results in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127342
Explained variance (R^2) is a familiar summary of the fit of a linear regression and has been generalized in various ways to multilevel (hierarchical) models. The multilevel models we consider in this paper are characterized by hierarchical data structures in which individuals are grouped into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407962
Various noninformative prior distributions have been suggested for scale parameters in hierarchical models. We construct a new folded-noncentral- t family of conditionally conjugate priors for hierarchical standard deviation parameters, and then consider noninformative and weakly informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062561
well as for quantitative policy analysis and forecasting at central banks around the world. This paper reviews recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014186380
implement the proposed Bayesian methodology. A Monte Carlo simulation study is constructed to assess the performance of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042737
We review applications of Bayesian methods to marketing problems. Key aspects of marketing applications include the discreteness of response or outcome data and relatively large numbers of cross-sectional units, each with possibly low information content. The use of informative priors including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014046780
uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of U.S. interest rates. We start off by analyzing and comparing the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014196386
This paper analyzes to what extent changes in monetary policy regimes influence the business cycle in a small open economy and investigates the impact of policy breaks on the estimation procedure. We estimate a DSGE model on Swedish data, explicitly taking into account the monetary regime change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225044
In this paper we expand the literature of risk neutral density estimation across maturities from implied volatility curves, usually estimated and interpolated through cubic smoothing splines. The risk neutral densities are computed through the second derivative as in Panigirtzoglou and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020748
distribution. We show how to use the posterior simulation outputs as inputs for exercises in causality assessment. We apply our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227725