Showing 1 - 10 of 11,373
This paper proposes an up-to-date review of estimation strategies available for the Bayesian inference of GARCH … empirical application to S&P index log-returns. Several non-nested GARCH-type models are estimated and combined to predict the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380465
In this paper, a Bayesian approach is suggested to compare unit root models with stationary autoregressive models when both the level and the error variance are subject to structural changes (known as breaks) of an unknown date. Ignoring structural breaks in the error variance may be responsible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070524
In this paper a Bayesian approach to unit root testing for panel data models is proposed based on the comparison of stationary autoregressive models with and without individual determinist trends, with their counterpart models with unit autoregressive roots. This is done under cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012719540
We present an estimation and forecasting method, based on a differential evolution MCMC method, for inference in GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116269
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility … process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052313
This chapter proposes an up-to-date review of estimation strategies available for the Bayesian inference of GARCH … empirical application to S&P index log-returns where non-nested GARCH-type models are estimated and combined to predict the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498470
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility … process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610474
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility … process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010615163
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility … process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371456
parsimonious and effective GARCH(1,1) model with Student-t innovations. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380176