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three US financial assets, we compare the realized MEGARCH models with existing multivariate GARCH class models. The …The paper develops a new realized matrix-exponential GARCH (MEGARCH) model, which uses the information of returns and … realized measure of co-volatility matrix simultaneously. The paper also considers an alternative multivariate asymmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794277
The ratio of consumption to total household wealth (i.e., tangible assets plus unobserved human wealth) is commonly calculated from the estimation of a log-linear version of the household intertemporal budget constraint as a cointegrating relationship between consumption, assets and earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844588
. The model is estimated with sequential Monte Carlo methods that include a particle learning filter and a Rao …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316727
This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405305
approach using a Bayesian MS-VAR which is net of these arbitrary components. This method allows for the consistent … method on artificial as well a real data and conduct an empirical backtest, in which generated scenarios are compared to the … actual development during the financial crisis. The method is challenged with the DSGE model and conditional forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496739
This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501159
We develop a dynamic Bayesian model for clickthrough and conversion probabilities of paid search advertisements. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057153
We consider the estimation of a large number of GARCH models, of the order of several hundreds. To achieve parsimony … distribution has its own conditional mean and variance. Inference is done by the Bayesian approach, using data augmentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008555
This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the … parsimonious and effective GARCH(1,1) model with Student-t innovations. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380176
exuberance. To shed some light on the magnitude of the deviation of stock prices from fundamentals we apply a Markov …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278471