Showing 1 - 10 of 2,711
price, the equilibrium risk-free rate, and risk premia. Climate disasters, which are more likely to occur sooner as … temperature rises, significantly increase risk premia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258563
disaster. I specify a general equilibrium model with multiple trees and heterogeneous beliefs about rare event risk, to … understand how risk-sharing mechanisms affect equity and variance risk premia, at an aggregate level and in the cross-section of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973305
Before information φ arrives, market observers must be uncertain whether the stock price conditioned on φ will be higher or lower than the current price. Otherwise there is an obvious arbitrage opportunity. By assuming this minimal condition of efficient markets, it is shown under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035935
on the state of the economy. I show that a conditional model with investors' beliefs and an uncertainty risk factor is …This paper investigates empirically the dynamics of investors' beliefs and Bayesian uncertainty about the state of the … economy as state variables that describe the time-variation in investment opportunities. Using measures of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149939
The term "information risk" or "information uncertainty" is defined as the risk of a misleading signal. This risk is … likelihood function) can bring an increase in uncertainty, and hence an increase in the cost of capital. It can also occur that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085394
We show theoretically that when Bayesian investors face time-series uncertainty about assets' risk exposures …, differences in their priors affect the pricing of risk in the cross-section: different priors for the same asset can generate … differences in perceived risk exposures, and thereby differences in required returns. The main testable implication is that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935196
risk-averse investor, the second-degree expectation dependence (SED) is required to account for the downside risk faced by … realistically match equity premia, risk-free rates, and variance risk premia. The consumption SED risk emerges as a fundamental … source of uncertainty driving asset prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938673
risk-averse investors. This question has been shown to be complex when considered outside of the mean-variance framework … asset can be decomposed into an investment component based on the risk premium offered by the asset and a hedging component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735459
-varying and related to investor uncertainty about the state of the economy. The dynamics of betas will also vary across assets … uncertainty periods, value betas are higher while growth betas are lower. We estimate conditional betas empirically using proxies … for investor uncertainty and show support of the model's prediction about the dynamics of growth and value betas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078729
We study the problem of pricing contingent claims in the presence of uncertainty about the timing and the size of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969382