The paper describes the specification, estimation, and testing of an unrestricted structural econometric model design to explain and forecast individual returns of securities listed on the Brazilian stock market. The model's explanatory variables include macroeconomic, fundamental and...

This thesis examines the links between economic time-series innovations and statisticalrisk factors in the UK stock market using principal components analysis (PCA) and thegeneral-to-specific (Gets) approach to econometric modelling.A multi-factor risk structure for the UK stock market is...