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We develop a new approach to modeling dynamics in cash flow data extracted from daily firm-level dividend announcements. We decompose daily cash flow news into a persistent component, jumps, and temporary shocks. Empirically, we find that the persistent cash flow component is a highly...
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We estimate the term structure of cash flow risk and its price of risk for the most prominent equity anomalies, at different frequencies, by directly modeling the dividend growth series instead of relying on a VAR-residual approach. We find the term structure of cash flow risk to be upward...
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We examine the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on firms' decisions to suspend dividends and estimate a model that quantifies the effect of suspensions on growth in aggregate dividends. Our estimates show that dividend suspensions had a large impact on expected future dividend growth and also...
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