Showing 1 - 10 of 28
This paper suggests a combination procedure to exploit the imperfect correlation of cointegration tests to develop a more powerful meta test. To exemplify, we combine Engle and Granger (1987) and Johansen (1988) tests. Either of these underlying tests can be more powerful than the other one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216329
A simple manipulation of the cointegrated framework proposed by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001, 2004) allows to demonstrate that temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio predict excess returns on international stock markets. This finding is the reflection of an important common,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216943
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001626873
We show that the power of the KPSS-test against integration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic under the alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used. The divergence rate is independent of the order of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003005045
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002141944
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388932
This paper identifies and estimates the relevant cycles in paleoclimate data of earth temperature, ice volume and CO2. Cyclical cointegration analysis is used to connect these cycles to the earth eccentricity and obliquity and to see that the earth surface temperature and ice volume are closely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015152710
We extend the monitoring of structural breaks in classic cointegration proposed by Wagner and Wied (2017) to explicitly allow for fractional cointegration and breaks in these fractional relations with possible deterministic trends. To estimate the parameters we use a fully modified OLS estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015152729
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015142097
This paper investigates the finite-sample properties of the smooth transition-based cointegration test proposed by Kapetanios et al. (2006) when the data generating process under the alternative hypothesis is a globally stationary second order LSTR model. The provided procedure describes an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239745