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all symmetric equilibria of these voting games. Second, we show that ambiguity may drastically undermine McLennan's (1998 …) results on decision quality: unlike in the absence of ambiguity, the ex ante optimal symmetric strategy profile need not be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487011
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366542
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain either optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101422
making under ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864517
ambiguity averse relation. First, we define two notions of more ambiguous with respect to such a class. A more ambiguous (I) act … makes an ambiguity averse decision maker (DM) worse off but does not affect the welfare of an ambiguity neutral DM. A more … ambiguous (II) act adversely affects a more ambiguity averse DM more, as measured by the compensation they require to switch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759
control theory to the so-called multiplier and constraint preferences that have been used to express ambiguity aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025622
(KMM) interpret ambiguity aversion as aversion against second-order risks associated with ambiguous acts. We design an … experiments. It appears that the ambiguity premium is partially paid to avoid the ambiguity issue per se, which is distinct from … notions of second- order risk. This finding is robust even when there is only partial ambiguity, and is applicable to all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801484
depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678