Stock return predictability by investor sentiment has been subject to constant updating, but reaching a decisive conclusion seems rather challenging as academic research relies heavily on US data. We provide fresh evidence on stock return predictability in an international setting and show that...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the behaviour of the spot prices of eight of the most important energy markets that trade futures contracts on NYMEX. We model the energy spot prices with a Mean Reversion (MR) and a Mean Reversion Jump Diffusion (MRJD) specification for the returns'...

We develop a coherent framework for the valuation of real assets and determination of the optimal time to invest. To this end, we model the stochastic nature of income and develop methodologies for valuing traded derivatives to facilitate model calibration. A valuation paradigm for...

This article is concerned with the hedging effectiveness of futures contracts whose underlying asset is an index, when the structure of this index is changing. The case of the freight futures (BIFFEX) contract is examined here. Investigation of this issue is particularly interesting as the...