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U.S. stocks' response to inflation surprises is, on average, robustly negative. Stocks' response to positive inflation surprises shows much more pronounced time-series variability than their response to negative inflation surprises. In our sample, stocks react significantly to positive inflation...
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We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020-2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices and wages. We further measure the relative...
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