We propose a direct and convenient reduced-bias estimator of predictive regression coefficients, assuming that the regressors are Gaussian first-order autoregressive with errors that are correlated with the error series of the dependent variable. For the single-regressormodel, Stambaugh (1999)...

We consider semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter in a modelwhich includes as special cases both the long-memory stochasticvolatility (LMSV) and fractionally integrated exponential GARCH(FIEGARCH) models. Under our general model the logarithms of the squaredreturns can be decomposed...

We present new methods for modelling nonlinear threshold-type autoregressive behaviour in periodically correlated time series. The methods are illustrated using a series of average monthly flows of the Fraser River in British Columbia. Commonly used nonlinearity tests of the river flow data in...

We discuss some of the issues pertaining to modelling and estimating long memory in volatility. Themain focus is on semi parametric estimation of the memory parameter in the long memory stochasticvolatility model. We present the asymptotic properties of the log periodogram regression estimator...

We consider a common components model for multivariate fractional cointegration, in which the s cedil; 1 components have different memory parameters. The cointegrating rank is allowed to exceed 1. The true cointegrating vectors can be decomposed into orthogonal fractional cointegrating subspaces...

We consider a fractional exponential, or FEXP estimator of the memory parameter of a stationary Gaussian long-memory time series. The estimator is constructed by fitting a FEXP model of slowly increasing dimension to the log periodogram at all Fourier frequencies by ordinary least squares, and...