Einleitung in die Ermittlung der Übernahme- und Fusionswahrscheinlichkeit für Akquiseziele in der deutschen Stahlindustrie auf Basis von Finanzkennzahlen -- Methodisch-konzeptionelle Grundlagen zu den eingesetzten Arbeitstechniken und Hypothesen zu Übernahmen und Fusionen -- Identifizierung...

This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-period forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models in the form of parsimonious factor-augmented vector autoregressions. To account for serial correlation in the residuals of the multi-period...

We document five novel empirical findings on the well-known potential ordering drawback associated with the time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility developed by Cogley and Sargent (2005) and Primiceri (2005), CSP-SV. First, the ordering does not affect point...

This paper examines the PPP hypothesis analysing the behaviour of the real exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar for four major currencies (namely, the Canadian dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound). An innovative approach based on fractional integration in a multivariate...

The episodes of stock market crises in Europe and the U.S.A. since the year 2000, and the fragility of the international stock markets, have sparked the interest of researchers in understanding and in modeling the markets’ rising volatilities in order to prevent against crises. Portfolio...

In univariate data, there exist standard procedures for identifying dominating features that produce the largest number of observations. However, in the multivariate setting, the situation is quite different. This paper aims to provide tools and methods for detecting dominating directional...