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This study examines individual analyst forecast revisions of annual earnings to provide insight into “walkdown ….7 percent of analyst-firm-year forecast revisions during 2001 – 2021 exhibit walkdown behavior. In contrast, 40.8 percent of … analyst’s first forecast is optimistic, her final forecast is similarly likely to be slightly optimistic as slightly …
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Analysts providing more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable recommendations. We demonstrate how investors can profit from this contemporaneous link by differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts. In line with previous studies, we find that past track records alone are...
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We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
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from long term trend estimates. As a stock price prediction or index movement forecast tool, it can be relied extensively …
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measure of soft information. Using a panel regression of analysts forecast error on observable firm-specific, analyst …-effect is associated with a low forecast error, and that a high pair-effect is associated with a high forecast error, may the …. Although they refer to opposite forecast patterns, pessimism and optimism both result from the same analyst's concern to …
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/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
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discovery literature – that captures how quickly the daily consensus analyst earnings forecast approaches the actual earnings as …
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which foreign experience enhances analyst forecast accuracy …
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