We propose a joint model to combine models for hospital visits and out-of-pocket medical expenditures. It allows for the presence of non-linear effects of covariates using splines to capture the effects of aging on healthcare demand. Sample heterogeneity is modeled robustly with the random...

This paper shows how the dynamic linear model with fixed regressors can be efficiently estimated. This dynamic model can be used to distinguish spurious correlation from state dependence and we show that the integrated likelihood estimator is adaptive for any asymptotics with T increasing where...

We express the mean and variance terms in a double exponential regression model as additive functions of the predictors and use Bayesian variable selection to determine which predictors enter the model, and whether they enter linearly or flexibly. When the variance term is null we obtain a...

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a histogram-type prior with piecewise constant realisations on...

This paper considers estimation of panel data models with fixed effects. First, we will show that a consistent "unrestricted fixed effects" estimator does not exist for autoregressive panel data models with initial conditions. We will derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the...

This paper considers inference procedures for two types of dynamic linear panel data models with fixed effects (FE). First, it shows that the closures of stationary ARMAFE models can be consistently estimated by Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimators and it derives their asymptotic...

The sample covariance matrix is known to contain substantial statistical noise, making it inappropriate for use in financial decision making. Leading researchers have proposed various filtering methods that attempt to reduce the level of noise in the covariance matrix estimator. In most cases,...

Several studies on heritability in twins aim at understanding the different contribution of environmental and genetic factors to specific traits. Considering the National Merit Twin Study, our purpose is to correctly analyse the influence of the socioeconomic status on the relationship between...

Empirical volatility studies have discovered nonstationary, long-memory dynamics in the volatility of the stock market and foreign exchange rates. This highly persistent, infinite variance—but still mean reverting—behavior is commonly found with nonparametric estimates of the fractional...

In this paper, we study the kernel estimation of the copula density on unit square [0,1]X[0,1], and demonstrate the implementation of this methodology to equity and bond markets. There are two crucial problems associated with this estimator. First, the kernel estimator is biased at the...