This paper presents new econometric specifications for the Brazilian exports in the period 1995-2009 using data from the Quarterly Accounts and allowing for nonlinearities. In the cointegrating vector, there is evidence of a level shift, but the elasticities have not changed significantly. The...

This paper presents econometric estimates for the Brazilian aggregate imports over the period 1996-2010. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper that uses the Brazilian quarterly national accounts with this goal in mind. Besides estimating a demand equation (canonical model), as it...

International trade is a principle transmission mechanism by which developments in one country can have repercussions in others and how it is modelled is an important part of any multi-country model. This paper describes recent estimation work carried out by the OECD, which respecifies and...

A basic assumption of the gravity equation of international trade is that increasing trade costs lower exports. But intuition and theory imply that a high export volume lowers bilateral trade costs as well, because a fixed cost intensive trade sector probably bears lower average costs with more...

This paper provides a new, unified, and flexible framework to measure and characterize a convergence process. Specifically, we formally define the notion of price convergence and propose a model to represent a wide range of transition paths that converge to a common steady-state. Our framework...

Alexander Izmailov, Ph.D (theoretical physics) and Brian Shay, Ph.D (mathematics) of Market Memory Trading, L.L.C., present in a series of nine (9) white papers, aspects of a revolutionary advance in uncovering hidden dependencies via filtering noise from correlation matrices developed by the...

Alexander Izmailov, Ph.D (theoretical physics) and Brian Shay, Ph.D (mathematics) of Market Memory Trading, L.L.C., present in a series of nine (9) white papers, aspects of a revolutionary advance in uncovering hidden dependencies via filtering noise from correlation matrices developed by the...

This paper develops a structural empirical general equilibrium model of aggregate bilateral trade with path dependence of country-pair level exporter status. Such path dependence is motivated through informational costs about serving a foreign market for first-time entry of (firms in) an export...

In this article we estimate the “Imports of Goods” in European countries in the period 2010-2019 for 28 countries. We use Panel Data with Fixed Effects, Panel Data with Random Effects, Pooled OLS, WLS. Our results show that “Imports of Goods” is negatively associated with “Private...