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foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial … Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation procedure to cope with the documented difficulties of previous methodologies. We … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local average of block-wise parametric spectral covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411945
We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local average of block-wise parametric spectral covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412428
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
-frequency data, in line with IT developments, enables the use of more information to estimate not only the variance (volatility), but … estimation method is applied to DAX intraday prices, which balances between the bias and the variance of the realized moments … the fast-time-time scale sampling frequency is held fixed. The realized kernel density estimation enriches the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264979
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063989
Multifactor financial models are of great importance in analyzing practical asset prices. As an alternative to CAPM …, Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), developed by Ross (1976), describes the expected returns on any financial asset with respect to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012458
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053510