La versione italiana di questo documento è disponibile al seguente link: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3663335The present Report analyses the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic as of the first semester of 2020 both in the domestic and in the international framework. Some analysis are updated...

Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...

Australian Steve Keen was, in fact, one of just 13 registered economists , out of a global total of around 36,000 (yes that really comes out as 0.04%), who actually anticipated the global financial crisis.Knowing this, I think it’s almost impossible not to want to read his latest book,...

This report discusses the economic impact of the Coronavirus/COVID-19 crisis across industries, and countries. It also provides estimates of the potential global economic costs of COVID-19, and the GDP growth of different countries. The current draft includes estimates for 30 countries, under...

This paper analyzes the Euro crisis in light of the experience of center-periphery relations over the last 40 years of renewed financial globalization. The crisis shows the characteristic pattern evident in so many other crises in the developing world: i.e. “boom” and “bust” phases of...

We discover sentiment-driven equilibria in popular models of imperfect risk sharing. In these equilibria, sentiment dynamics behave like uncertainty shocks, in the sense that self-fulfilled beliefs about volatility drive aggregate fluctuations. Because such fluctuations can decouple from the...

Why do fire sales occur if many risks are hedgeable? We study a version of Brunnermeier and Sannikov (2014) in which all fundamental risks can be hedged frictionlessly. Our analysis shows that fire sales are inherently self-fulfilling. Fundamental shocks can never cause fire sales, and an...

Referring to the role credit-rating agencies played in the most recent global financial crisis, the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission – FCIC concluded that “… the failures of credit rating agencies were essential cogs in the wheel of financial destruction.” The reasons for such...

This paper analyzes the insurability of pandemic risk and outlines how underwriting policies and scenario analysis are used to build resilience upfront and plan contingency actions for crisis scenarios. It then summarizes the unique “lessons learned” from the Covid-19 crisis by baselining...

The paper puts the outcome during the most recent financial crisis in a historical perspective by taking a closer look at the frequency of extreme events in the economic history of Denmark, in some cases based on time series back to the late 1600s. We focus on the frequency distribution of a...