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Predictive algorithms have an increasingly important role in supporting the day-to-day operations of healthcare organizations. Yet, fully realizing the value of algorithms lies critically in the opportunity to re-engineer the related processes and redefine roles in ways that make organizations...
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Problem definition: Dynamic forecasting models in auctions have fallen short on two dimensions: (i) the lack of an equilibrium model for final stage bids and (ii) the lack of a winner's curse (i.e., a tendency to overpay conditional on winning the auction) adjustment to allow bidders to account...
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This paper provides a general framework to model the evolutions of forecasts generated by multiple decision makers who forecast demand for the same product. We also model the evolutions of forecasts when decision makers have asymmetric demand information and refer to it as the Martingale Model...
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This paper investigates the capacity investment decision of a supplier who solicits private forecast information from a manufacturer. To ensure abundant supply, the manufacturer has an incentive to inflate her forecast in a costless, non-binding, and non-verifiable type of communication known as...
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