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LPPLS bubble indicators over two centuries of the S&P 500 index
Zhang, Qunzhi; Sornette, Didier; Balcilar, Mehmet; … - 2016
The aim of this paper is to present novel tests for the early causal diagnostic of positive and negative bubbles in the S&P 500 index and the detection of End-of-Bubble signals with their corresponding confidence levels. We use monthly S&P 500 data covering the period from August 1791 to August...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514490
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Linking U.S. state-level housing market returns, and the consumption-(dis)aggregate wealth ratio
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Sousa, Ricardo M.; … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 71 (2021), pp. 779-810
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012630699
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What can fifty-two collateralizable wealth measures tell us about future housing market returns? : evidence from U.S. state-level data
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Sousa, Ricardo M.; … - In: The journal of real estate finance and economics 62 (2021) 1, pp. 81-107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428385
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Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? : evidence from a nonparametric causality test
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Sousa, Ricardo M.; … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 48 (2017), pp. 269-279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747274
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The ability of the term spread to predict output growth, recessions, and inflation : a survey
Wohar, Mark E. - In: Liquidity, interest rates and banking, (pp. 35-56). 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008654519
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Valuation ratios and long-horizon stock price predictability
Rapach, David E.; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 20 (2005) 3, pp. 327-344
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002807202
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Macro variables and international stock return predictability
Rapach, David E.; Wohar, Mark E.; Rangvid, Jesper - In: International journal of forecasting 21 (2005) 1, pp. 137-166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002547182
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Uncertainty and predictability of real housing returns in the United Kingdom : a regional analysis
Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E.; … - In: Journal of forecasting 41 (2022) 7, pp. 1525-1556
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465713
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Climate risks and predictability of commodity returns and volatility : evidence from over 750 years of data
Nel, Jacobus; Gupta, Rangan; Wohar, Mark E.; … - In: Climate change economics : CCE 15 (2024) 4, pp. 1-40
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015196824
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Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? : a survey of the literature
Wheelock, David C.; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 (2009) 5, pp. 419-440
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003902304