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Life insurers, pension funds, health care providers and social security institutions face increasing expenses due to continuing improvements of mortality rates. The actuarial and demographic literature has introduced a myriad of (deterministic and stochastic) models to forecast mortality rates...
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In this paper, the individual claim reserving model proposed by Pigeon et al. (2013) is extended to include paid and incurred data. Analytic expressions are derived for the expected ultimate losses, given observed development patterns. The usefulness of this new model is illustrated using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973458
Most mortality models proposed in recent literature rely on the standard ARIMA-framework (in particular: a random walk with drift) to project mortality rates. As a result the projections are highly sensitive to the calibration period. We apply a modelling strategy for the time-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973459
In this paper we present a detailed outline of the posterior distributions for the LL model, as described by Antonio et al. (2015). Moreover, we illustrate the convergence of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo ([MCMC]) updating scheme used by Antonio et al. (2015).The paper "Bayesian Poisson...
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