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Prior studies attribute analysts' forecast superiority over time-series forecasting models to their access to a large set of firm, industry, and macroeconomic information (an information advantage), which they use to update their forecasts on a daily, weekly or monthly basis (a timing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955869
This paper uses structured machine learning regressions for nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with macroeconomic, financial, and news time series sampled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492089
Cheong and Thomas (2011) provide a new perspective on the behavior of the distribution of EPS forecast error magnitudes as a function of share price. Specifically, they explore several economic-based explanations, related to analyst and manager behavior, in order to understand why measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126027
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932653
This paper introduces structured machine learning regressions for prediction and nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the empirical problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with macroeconomic, financial,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517329