We propose a market-valued capital ratio as an indicator to gauge the riskiness of banks. In particular, we examine the cross-sectional relation between the market-valued capital ratio and stock returns of listed Japanese banks. It is found that banks with lower market-valued capital ratios have...

This paper explores the implications of a dividend yield model for predicting aggregate Japanese stock returns using long time-series data from 1949 to 2009. In addition to one-period return tests, we conduct statistical tests based on dividend growth forecasts and long-horizon return forecasts...

This paper documents the time-series and cross-sectional variations in bank capital ratios and investigates their underlying driving forces using listed Japanese bank data from 1977 to 2009. We derive an overall framework in the form of a present-value model to decompose the ariation in bank...