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This paper investigates the learnability of an equilibrium where agents formulate their forecasts under adaptive learning with heterogeneously misspecified econometric models; the equilibrium is called a Heterogeneous Misspecification Equilibrium (HME). The paper finds that the learnability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251133
This chapter presents an overview of the existing learning models in the economic literature. Furthermore, it discusses the choice of models that should be used under various circumstances and how adequate learning models can be chosen in simulation approaches. It gives advice for using the many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024387
This paper develops a general framework to study how misinterpreting information impacts learning. Our main result is a simple criterion to characterize long-run beliefs based on the underlying form of misspecification. We present this characterization in the context of social learning, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246921
The behavioural finance literature attributes the persistent market misvaluation observed in real data to the presence of deviations from rational thinking of the actors involved. Cognitive biases and the use of simple heuristics can be described using expected utility maximising agents that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161531
We model inter-temporal ambiguity as the scenario in which a Bayesian learner holds more than one prior distribution over a set of parameters and provide necessary and sufficient condition for ambiguity to fade away because of learning. Our condition applies to most learning environments: iid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946389
This paper develops a general framework to study how misinterpreting information impacts learning. We consider sequential social learning and passive individual learning settings in which individuals observe signals and the actions of predecessors. Individuals have incorrect, or misspecified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851543
We establish convergence of beliefs and actions in a class of one-dimensional learning settings in which the agent's model is misspecified, she chooses actions endogenously, and the actions affect how she misinterprets information. Our stochastic-approximation-based methods rely on two crucial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415583
This paper studies market selection in an Arrow-Debreu economy with complete markets where agents learn over misspecified models. Under model misspecification, standard Bayesian learning loses its formal justification and biased learning processes may provide a selection advantage. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283575
This chapter introduces readers to the broader network of strategies to which action learning may be considered an important hub. For very pragmatic purposes, action learning, according to the author, needs to link with its natural cousins, referred to as ‘action modalities.’ After providing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014174863
Parliamentary institutions and partisan norms are complex, and new members of parliament are unlikely to possess an innate awareness of optimal behavior. This paper examines how new legislators adopt the behavioral patterns of incumbent members in the 6th European Parliament. The 6th EP provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014181637