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One of the most important factors to control for the achievements of investment portfolio returns is risk. If we only think that a 100% positive return is needed to recover a portfolio loss of 50%, we can understand why. With the advent of the exponential growth of technology usage in markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254526
The rapid development of artificial intelligence methods contributes to their wide applications for forecasting various financial risks in recent years. This study introduces a novel explainable case-based reasoning (CBR) approach without a requirement of rich expertise in financial risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584957
In this paper we explore the use of Genetic Algorithms (GA) to calibrate seasonal BVAR models. In this way, the mechanistic use of seasonal adjustment procedures is avoided, since seasonality becomes a structural, basic and explicit part of the BVAR model. At the same time, the use of GA allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132203
In this paper an attempt has been made to fit the Gielis curves (modified by various functions) to simulated data. The estimation has been done by two methods - the Classical Simulated Annealing (CSA) and the Particle Swarm (PS) methods - of global optimization. The Repulsive Particle Swarm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026933
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simulation-based approach by fusing a number of macroeconomic factors using Neural Networks (NN) to build an Economic Factor …-based Predictive Model (EFPM). Then, we combine it with the Copula-GARCH simulation model and the Mean-Conditional Value at Risk (Mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388728
Purpose This paper aims to present a literature review of the most recent optimisation methods applied to Credit Scoring Models (CSMs). Design/methodology/approach The research methodology employed technical procedures based on bibliographic and exploratory analyses. A traditional investigation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506795
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Simulation optimization is providing solutions to important practical problems previously beyond reach. This paper … explores how new approaches are significantly expanding the power of simulation optimization for managing risk. Recent advances … in simulation optimization technology are leading to new opportunities to solve problems more effectively. Specifically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150671
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