“Input-Output” table which was designed for solution of mutual relation(impact) problem is widely applied tool in the world for conducting economic analysis and forecasting. One of the most important problem of our today’s world is to prevent financial-economic crises in  several...

Several times a year, OPEC hosts conferences with its members to review oil fundamentals and decide on production quota adjustments. The organization meets behind closed doors, but the opening meeting is open to the press and usually fuels market speculation on which agreement concerning oil...

Most of Basel II and III financial regulations are based on data, treated in a statistical mindset. While regulators call for forward-looking risk management, they suggest no time-based modeling approach. In macroeconomic catastrophes modeling, this is a great setback. This paper reports the...

Most technologies used nowadays are complex in the sense that the production processes (and products themselves) consist of a large number of components which might interact with each other in complementary ways. Based on this insight, the current paper assumes that the total productivity of any...

This paper presents a new approach to solve dynamic decision models in economics. The proposed procedure, called Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC), relies on the iterative solution of optimal control problems on finite time horizons and is well established in engineering applications for...

GDP and its components’ evolution show an oscillatory behavior. As an alternative approach to classical cyclic behavior producing models, the paper analyses this behavior both by Fourier transforms of the data series and by a discussion of the roots configuration of the associated second order...

Ghersi and Hourcade (2006) proved that the impact of technical constraints (often derived from bottom-up models) may result in strong macroeconomic impacts. Therefore, the modeling choices of the representation of technical change in CGE models affect the evaluation of the cost of climate and...

The distribution of persons in each economy on their income is similar to the Maxwell-Boltzmann equilibrium distribution encountered in various physical systems. The transactions the persons are making to buy things that make them survive (in all sort of ways) are making them ‘poorer’...