In this work, we suggest a novel quadratic programming-based algorithm to generate an arbitrage-free call option surface. Our approach relies on a regression spline-based implementation of the framework proposed by Orosi (2011) who presents a multi-parameter extension of the models of Figlewski...

This paper describes an empirical study of the information content of daily share prices and American put and call option mid-quotes about their generating process. Considering stock return and its volatility as the risk factors and without parameterizing their historical joint dynamics, two...

We study the estimation, the dynamics, and the predictability of option-implied risk-neutral moments (variance, skewness, and kurtosis) for individual stocks from various perspectives. We first show that it is in the estimation of the higher moments essential to use an interpolation with a...

We find that option-implied information such as forward-looking variance, skewness and the variance risk premium are sensitive to the way the volatility surface is constructed. For some state-of-the-art volatility surfaces, the differences are economically surprisingly large and lead to...

The fair value of an option is given by breakeven volatility, the value of implied volatility that sets the profit and loss of a delta-hedged option to zero. We calculate breakeven volatility for 400,000 options traded on the S&P 500 Index, and we build a predictive model for these volatility...

Alcock and Carmichael (2008) introduce a nonparametric method for pricing American style options that is derived from the canonical valuation developed by Stutzer (1996). While the statistical properties of this nonparametric pricing methodology have been studied in a controlled simulation...

This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...

The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...

This paper evaluates the underperformance of individual equity options relative to their replicating portfolios. Considering a high-dimensional set of variables, we use a machine learning approach to identify the characteristics of options and their underlying stocks that provide incremental...

This paper studies the effects of default risk on equity option returns. We show that there is a cross-sectional and a time-series relation between default risk and option returns. In the cross-section, expected delta-hedged equity option returns have a negative relation with default risk...