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In electricity markets, futures contracts typically function as a swap since they deliver the underlying over a period of time. In this paper, we introduce a market price for the delivery periods of electricity swaps, thereby opening an arbitrage-free pricing framework for derivatives based on...
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In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the market price of risk for delivery periods (MPDP) of electricity swap contracts. As introduced by Kemper et al. (2022), the MPDP arises through the use of geometric averaging while pricing electricity swaps in a geometric framework. In...
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Seasonality is an important topic in electricity markets, as both supply and demand are dependent on the time of the year. Clearly the level of prices shows a seasonal behaviour, but not only. Also the price fluctuations are typically seasonal. In this paper, we study empirically the implied...
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In this paper we study the effect that mean-reverting components in the arithmetic dynamics of electricity spot price have on the price of a call option on a swap. Our model allows for seasonal effects, spikes, and negative values of the price of electricity. We show that for sufficiently large...
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