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We document a new phenomenon in bond and equity markets that we call cross-asset time series momentum. Using data from 20 countries, we show that past bond market returns are positive predictors of future equity market returns, and past equity market returns are negative predictors of future...
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We show that an increase in a stock's breadth of institutional ownership or turnover is followed by a significant but temporary increase in its CAPM beta estimate and a decrease in its CAPM alpha. The increasing effect of breadth of ownership on beta estimates strengthens if we classify...
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We measure misvaluation using the discounted residual income model of Ohlson (1990, 1995). We show that there are significant returns on a long-short portfolio that buys under- and sells short overvalued shares. These returns are highly correlated with the Fama and French HML factor returns and...
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I first show that taking moving averages of the term spread, the dividend yield, and the Shiller’s CAPE, significantly increases their ability to predict one month and 12-month forward equity market excess returns, and the state of the business cycle. Dividend yield, CAPE and term spread are...
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