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A quantitative mirror on the Euribor market using implied probability density functions
Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert de; Puigvert Gutiérrez, … - 2010
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
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A Quantitative Mirror on the Euribor Market Using Implied Probability Density Functions
de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert - 2011
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
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Estimating Option Implied Risk Neutral Densities : A Novel Parametric Approach (Preprint)
Orosi, Greg - 2019
In this paper, we propose a novel parametric approach to extract the implied risk-neutral density function from a cross-section of call option prices. The method is based on the framework proposed by Orosi (2011), who presents a multi-parameter extension of the models of Figlewski (2002) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905353
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Inferring risk-averse probability distributions from option prices using implied binomial trees
Arnold, Tom; Crack, Timothy Falcon; Schwartz, Adam - In: Financial econometrics modeling : derivatives pricing, …, (pp. 35-52). 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008988015
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Integral Representation of Probability Density of Stochastic Volatility Models and Timer Options
Cui, Zhenyu - 2017
volatility models. Our method is based on a novel application of the exponential measure change in Palmowski & Rolski (2002 … stochastic volatility models with non-zero correlations, namely the Heston (1993), 3/2, and a special case of the α …-Hypergeometric stochastic volatility models recently proposed by Da Fonseca & Martini (2016). Then, we combine our method with a stochastic time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941953
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Estimating probability distributions of future asset prices : empirical transformations from option-implied risk-neutral to real-world density functions
Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert de; Noss, Joseph - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559811
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Option implied tail index and volatility based on heavy-tailed distributions : evidence from KOSPI 200 index options market
Kim, Joocheol; Kim, Hyun-Oh - In: Global economic review 43 (2014) 3, pp. 269-284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509739
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Option-implied probability distributions : How reliable? How jagged?
Taboga, Marco - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 45 (2016), pp. 453-469
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626502
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Deriving option-implied probability densities for foreign exchange markets
Blake, Andrew P.; Rule, Garreth - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289967
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Integral representations of probability density of stochastic volatility models and timer options
Cui, Zhenyu; Kirkby, J. Lars; Lian, Guanghua; Nguyen, Duy - In: International journal of theoretical and applied finance 20 (2017) 8, pp. 1-32
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787421