We determine the optimal timing for replacement of an emerging technology facing uncertainty in both the output price and the arrival of new versions. Via a sequential investment framework, we determine the value of the investment opportunity, the value of the project, and the optimal investment...

Profit-maximizing firms hedge risk from uncertainty by deciding on capacity investment and production. Typically, risk-averse firms monotonically forgo expected profit in exchange for an improved risk measure, e.g., conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). However, the stochastic-equilibrium literature...

Investment in emerging technologies is particularly challenging, since, apart from uncertainty in revenue streams, firms must also take into account both policy uncertainty and the random arrival of innovations. We assume that the former is reflected in the sudden provision and retraction of a...