Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...

This study reveals the information content of individual investors' risk-adjusted return expectations. Although individual investors overestimate the performance of their stock purchases on average, the cross-sectional variation in their risk-adjusted return expectations is predictive of future...

In this paper, we conducted an empirical analysis of the impact of implementation of shareholder perks, which attract small investors, on the risks of Japanese stocks. We tested hypotheses on the impact of implementation of shareholder perks on cost of equity capital, idiosyncratic risk, stock...

Momentum profits can be explained by exposure to risks omitted from common factor models (distress risk, idiosyncratic risk, and covariance with corporate bonds) and underreaction to innovations in these risks. Momentum strategies tend to go long risky stocks with high expected returns....

Assuming that risk premiums are determined by failure risk, we present a stylized model of interactions among risk-proxy variables, external financing, and stock returns in which a common mispricing factor, involving operating profit and external financing, drives the following five asset...

We provide empirical evidence for the incomplete information model advanced by Merton (1987), which shows that the relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IV) and expected return is conditional on the firm's investor base. Using four different proxies for investor base, we show that...

Systematic mispricing primarily affects speculative stocks and predominantly results in overpricing, predicting lower average returns. Because speculative stocks overlap with stocks deemed risky by rational models, failing to control for exposure to systematic mispricing can bias tests of...

To explore how portfolio allocations among equities, fixed income securities, and cash are impacted by investors' risk and return expectations, this paper explores portfolio reallocations among equity, bond, and money market mutual funds. As predicted by the literature on optimal portfolio...

To explore how portfolio allocations among equities, fixed income securities, and cash are impacted by investors' risk and return expectations, this paper explores portfolio reallocations among equity, bond, and money market mutual funds. As predicted by the literature on optimal portfolio...

We investigate how information choices impact equity returns and risk. Building on an existing theoretical model of information and investment choice, we estimate a learning index that reflects the expected benefits of learning about an asset. High learning index stocks have lower future returns...