We embed systematic default, pro-cyclical recovery rates and habit persistence into a model with a slight possibility of a macroeconomic disaster of reasonable magnitude. We derive analytical solutions for defaultable bond prices and show that a single set of structural parameters calibrated to...

This paper studies the impacts of the interactions between the changing macroeconomic conditions and the nature of competition on firms' investment timing decisions. With a model featuring business-cycle variations in both the profit level and the expected growth rate and volatility of the...

This article studies the pricing implications of learning about arrivals of economic disasters and the subsequent recoveries. We model a disaster as a separate phase, and transitions between the disaster and the normal phase introduce structual changes to the consumption process which triggers...