In order to capture observed asymmetric dependence in international financial returns, we construct a multivariate regime-switching model of copulas. We model dependence with one Gaussian and one canonical vine copula regime. Canonical vines are constructed from bivariate conditional copulas and...

Unintended consequences manifest themselves in many aspects of socioeconomic life. We develop a model of unintended consequences (UC) of novel policies. In our setup, the policymaker is unaware of the UC of her policy. We discuss several approaches to evaluating policy in terms of welfare...