We use a hierarchical factor model to study the behavior of yield curves derived from the market prices of corporate bonds issued by industrial companies and traded in the U.S. market. The sample is comprised by curves of different risk levels, which allows identifying four global forces and...

Based on market expectations reported by the Central Bank of Brazil for the SELIC interest rate, the IPCA inflation, the exchange rate (BRL/USD) and the growth rate of industrial production for four different forecasting horizons, this work analyzes the term structures of disagreement in...

We present projections of the trade and current account balances for Brazil in the period 2001/03. We show that external deficits shall persist during this period; given an international environment characterized by decreasing capital flows (especially those directed to emerging economies), this...