In this article we find the optimal solution of the hedging problem in discrete time by minimizing the mean square hedging error, when the underlying assets are multidimensional, extending the results of Schweizer (1995). We also find explicit expressions for the optimal hedging problem in...

This article presents a guided introduction to a general class of interacting particle methods and explains throughout how such methods may be adapted to solve general classes of inference problems encountered in actuarial science and risk management. Along the way, the resulting specialized...

In this paper, we propose a general methodology to sample sequentially from a sequence of probability distributions known up to a normalizing constant and defined on a common space. These probability distributions are approximated by a cloud of weighted random samples which are propagated over...

In this paper we introduce two new Hawkes processes, namely, compound and regime-switching compound Hawkes processes, to model the price processes in limit order books. We prove Law of Large Numbers and Functional Central Limit Theorems (FCLT) for both processes. The two FCLTs are applied to...

In this paper we present a forecasting method for time series using copula-based models for multivariate time series. We study how the performance of the predictions evolve when changing the strength of the different possible dependencies, as well as the structure of the dependence. We also look...

In this paper, we propose an intuitive way to couple several dynamic time series models by inducing dependence between the so-called generalized errors of each model. This extends previous work for modelling dependance between innovations of stochastic volatility models. We consider...

In this paper, we consider non-stationary response variables and covariates, where the marginal distributions and the associated copula may be time-dependent. We propose estimators for the unknown parameters and we establish the limiting distribution of the estimators of the copula and the...

We propose an innovative approach for dynamic portfolio insurance that overcomes many of the limitations of the earlier techniques. We transform the Payoff Distribution Model, originally introduced by Dybvig (1988) as a performance measure, to a fund management tool. This approach allows us to...