The ultra long run (ULR) discount rates are key inputs for valuing pension funds, life annuities, or firms with long run investments due to low carbon transition. However the corresponding zero-coupon bonds are only actively traded up to a last liquid point (LLP) such as 20 years, say. This...

We introduce Negative Binomial Autoregressive (NBAR) processes for (univariate and bivariate) count time series. The univariate NBAR process is defined jointly with an underlying intensity process, which is autoregressive gamma. The resulting count process is Markov, with negative binomial...

In the past decade, cyber insurance has raised much interest in the insurance industry, and cyber risk has evolved from a type of pure operational risk to both operational and liability risk for insurers. However, the modeling of cyber risk is still in its infancy. Compared with other insurance...

In insurance and related industries including healthcare, it is common to have several outcome measures that the analyst wishes to understand using explanatory variables. For example, in automobile insurance, an accident may result in payments for damage to one's own vehicle, damage to another...