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In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices. This estimator was early introduced in the literature and it is based on the high-low range observed at high frequency during the day. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021695
In this paper, we consider a method (splitting) for calculating the autocovariances of fractional integrated processes (ARFIMA) and generalized integrated processes (GARMA). The splitting method does not require any restriction on the autoregressive roots, and allows fast calculation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111325
The OGARCH specification is the leading model for a class of multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) models that are based on linear combinations of univariate GARCH specifications. Most MGARCH models in this class adopt a spectral decomposition of the covariance matrix, allowing for heteroskedasticity on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028895
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and determines a persistent increase (decrease) of stock variances and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981275
In the last 15 years, several Multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) models have appeared in the literature. The two most widely known and used are the Scalar BEKK model of Engle and Kroner (1995) and Ding and Engle (2001), and the DCC model of Engle (2002). Some recent research has begun to examine MGARCH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143822
The management and monitoring of very large portfolios of financial assets are routine for many individuals and organizations. The two most widely used models of conditional covariances and correlations in the class of multivariate GARCH models are BEKK and DCC. It is well known that BEKK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148083
Most multivariate variance models suffer from a common problem, the “curse of dimensionality”. For this reason, most are fitted under strong parametric restrictions that reduce the interpretation and flexibility of the models. Recently, the literature has focused on multivariate models with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153078
This paper provides the theoretical and operational framework for estimating past values of relevant time series starting from a limited information set. We consider a general approach exploring the relevant problems and the possible solutions evidencing that linear models could be the preferred...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316563