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In this paper a new method of constructing the leading economic index is presented. Its main advantage is the ability …
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macroeconomic theory, focusing in particular on several salient series that are not included in the proposed leading index. Section … evaluated. Second, given this conceptual framework, what are the best variables to use as components of the leading index? Third … project are three experimental monthly indexes: an index of coincident economic indicators (CEI), an index of leading economic …
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Leading indicators are typical constructs used in macroeconomics to guide decision making in several areas of economic activity, including policy formation and long term investment. Researchers often evaluate and select leading indicators on a seemingly ad hoc basis involving OLS regression,...
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