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Policy simulations for national economies with econometric models in general are done using a stand alone national model with exogenous export values and import prices. In a globalised world such an exercise is critical, since the policy in question may change the export prices and the import...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266821
Official statistics from the National Income Accounts (NIA) in the Philippines depicts an economy that has grown faster after the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC). Although the higher growth of output after the AFC was accompanied by higher real growth rates of personal consumption and the service...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275061
The first official data releases of quarterly real GDP for the euro area are published about eight weeks after the end of the reference quarters. Meanwhile, ongoing economic developments must be assessed from various, more readily available, monthly indicators. We examine in the context of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635895
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
Supply and use tables and symmetric input-output tables are an integral part of the European System of Accounts (ESA 1995). The present Input-Output Manual discusses compilation issues and provides best practices and harmonised solutions. Its main objective is to assist statistical institutes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009638815
National accounts data are always revised. Not only recent data, but also figures dating many years back can be revised substantially. This means that there is a danger that an important part of the central bank's information set is flawed for a long period of time. In this paper we present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295653
Das System der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen (VGR) in Deutschland wurde im Frühjahr 2005 von der Festpreisbasis auf das Vorjahrespreiskonzept (Kettenindexkonzept) umgestellt. Dadurch werden Substitutionseffekte besser berücksichtigt und die periodische Umbasierung der Zeitreihen...
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