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Using Capabilities to Project Growth, 2010-30

Felipe, Jesus - 2010

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010-30. We use a cross-country regression model where the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139269

Using capabilities to project growth, 2010 - 2030

Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - In: Journal of the Japanese and international economies : … 26 (2012) 1, pp. 153-166

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009619709

Global Economic Contraction and the Gold Market : The Role of Climate Change

Salisu, Afees; Penzin, Dinci; Vo, Xuan Vinh - 2023

contraction measure by Baumeister et al. (2020) which includes world industrial production in its measure, while that of Kilian …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348862

Using capabilities to project growth, 2010-30

Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - 2010

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010-30. We use a cross-country regression model where the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286539

Using capabilities to project growth, 2010–2030

Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - In: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 26 (2012) 1, pp. 153-166

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–2030. We use a cross-country regression model where …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010869511

"Using Capabilities to Project Growth, 2010-30"

Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - Levy Economics Institute - 2010

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010-30. We use a cross-country regression model where the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511691

Jointness of Growth Determinants

Doppelhofer, Gernot; Weeks, Melvyn - 2021

This paper introduces a new measure of dependence or jointness among explanatory variables. Jointness is based on the joint posterior distribution of variables over the model space, thereby taking model uncertainty into account. By looking beyond marginal measures of variable importance,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317072

A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs

Chudik, Alexander; Grossman, Valerie; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2014

quite rapidly with the forecast horizon, and (b) AugGVAR forecasts do as well as other data-rich forecasting techniques for … short horizons, and tend to do better for longer forecast horizons. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438196

Does the post-crisis weakness of global trade solely reflect weak demand?

Ollivaud, Patrice; Schwellnus, Cyrille - 2015

Global trade growth over the past few years has appeared extraordinarily weak, even in relation to weak global GDP growth. This paper shows that the apparent breakdown in the relationship between global trade and global GDP growth is largely explained by two factors: an inappropriate measurement...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399400

For how long do IMF forecasts of world economic growth stay up-to-date?

Heinisch, Katja; Lindner, Axel - 2018

for the world and for both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast …This study analyses the performance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook output forecasts … months old. In particular, there is an obvious gain using leading indicators from January to March for the forecast of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878368