This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following...

We analyze a repeated game in which countries are polluting as well as investing in technologies. While folk theorems point out that the first best can be sustained as a subgame-perfect equilibrium when the players are sufficiently patient, we derive the second best equilibrium when they are...

I present a rationale for a government to discriminate between debt and equity financing when taxing corporate income. For risk-averse entrepreneurs, equity generates more surplus than debt, because it provides financing and insurance. A government seeking to extract surplus from entrepreneurs...

Introducing discounts on Certified Emission Reductions from the Clean Development Mechanism is often treated as if it only imposed a substitution effect on a firm's decision between domestic and abroad abatement. Applying a cost minimization approach with a representative firm, I can show that...

How is one's cognitive ability related to the way one responds to strategic uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a set of experiments in simple 2 x 2 dominance solvable coordination games. Our experiments involve two main treatments: one in which two human subjects interact, and...

We investigate how carbon taxes combined with output-based rebating (OBR) in an open economy perform in interaction with the carbon policies of a large neighboring trading partner. Analytical results suggest that whether the purpose of the OBR policy is to compensate firms for carbon tax burdens...

This paper proves that forming coalition to bargain is detrimental to the allied members. The reason is simple: when the coalition obtains the same award as a single member, each of the allied members obtains a smaller amount. Though coalition members may benefit when the object is cost,...

This paper proposes a probabilistic model based on comovements and nonlinearities useful to assess the type of shock affecting each phase of the business cycle. By providing simultaneous inferences on the phases of real activity and inflation cycles, contractionary episodes are dated and...

This paper provides a framework for the early assessment of current U.S. nominal GDP growth, which has been considered a potential new monetary policy target. The nowcasts are computed using the exact amount of information that policy-makers have available at the time predictions are made....

A multi-billion-dollar, multi-year discrepancy between two identical share classes of Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) did not suffer from traditional external limits to arbitrage such as transactions costs and risk measures. One possible explanation is that self-imposed limits...