We develop a new methodology to analyse the dynamics of liquidation risk dependence in the hedge funds industry. This dependence results either from a common exogenous factor, or from conta- gion phenomena caused by an endogenous behaviour of fund managers. Our empirical analysis shows that the...

The aim of this paper is to extend the results of Jarrow, Yu (2001) on the spread term structures of corporate bonds. We first consider different characterisations of these term structures, when the available information corresponds to the default histories of the firms. The approach is then...

We consider a set of Markovian processes with Stochastic transition matrices. This specification extends the standard stochastic intensity model introduced by Cox in the two state case. Such a model is appropriate for the joint analysis of rating histories of several corporates, including the...

The aim of this paper is to explain why cross-sectional estimated migration correlations displayed in the academic and professional literature can be either not consistent, or inefficient, and to discuss alternative approaches. The analysis relies on a model with stochastic migration in which...

In this paper we consider an incomplete market framework and explain how to use jointly observed prices of the underlying asset and some derivatives written on this asset for an efficient pricing of other derivatives. This question involves two types of moment restrictions, which can be written...

In this article we explain how to use rating histories provided by the internal scoring systems of banks and rating agencies in order to predict the future risk of a set of borrowers. The method is developed following the steps suggested by the Basle Committee. To introduce both migration...