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In the paper we have investigated to what extent the behaviour of CPI inflation depends on changes in domestic economic … price indices respond to exchange rate movements and/or foreign inflation. The impact of exchange rate is most substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079240
In the paper we investigate, which shocks drive inflation in small open economies. We proceed in two steps. First, we … variables. Our results show that in two out of three analyzed countries the fluctuations of inflation are to the largest extent … inflation variability while for the third country the contribution of the commodity shock dominates over the output gap in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987483
inflation, we examine models of inflation that do and do not use the output gap. The Phillips curve, which relates inflation to … real activity, is regarded as the maintained theory of inflation. Models of inflation without the output gap include the … paper examines ten different models of inflation and estimates sixty-seven different specifications, some of which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113863
for future inflation for the cross section of New EU Member States. This paper provides stylized facts on monetary versus … non-monetary (economic and fiscal) determinants of inflation in these countries as well as formal econometric evidence on … predicting inflation at longer (3-year) horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605061
This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in … achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual … inflation and inflation target, into predictable and unpredictable components. We argue that the central banks are successful if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005965
This paper models inflation by combining the multi-country framework of one of its authors (Forbes) with the nonlinear … nonlinear when inflation is low, in which case excess economic slack has little effect on inflation. This finding is consistent … meaningful Phillips curve relationship between slack and inflation when slack is negative (i.e., when output is above long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225166
following Taylor's rule but a policy where besides inflation other objectives including the output growth was also taken into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851965
following Taylor's rule but a policy where besides inflation other objectives including the output growth was also taken into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010711326
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394237