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In this study, the Consumption-oriented Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) is tested for Nigeria by considering … formulations of the CCAPM; and the third test included consumption growth variable in a multifactor risk analysis to compare with … the basic CAPM formulations. The empirical results indicates that while stock returns do not predict future consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961662
I build a price-ratio model based on the Campbell and Shiller (1988) decomposition to test which components of investor expectations best explains cross-sectional price differences. I evaluate the in- and out-of-sample performance of my model, which uses a higher-order expansion with an added...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236440
We find that the FOMC-announcement-day return premium earned by a firm is positively related to the increase in its ex ante, option-implied skewness prior to the announcement. This finding is consistent with: (1) the existence of an announcement-day Fed put that is partially anticipated by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350063
-the dividend and earnings yields-on the South African market, at both aggregated and sectoral level. Unlike most studies in South …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
stocks including the earning and dividend per share and their intense relation with the share price changes. Toward this, we … with the share price changes is more than the relation of dividend per share with the share price changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099670
We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term structure of nominal and real rates. We estimate the model over 1999-2016 on U.S. data for nominal and TIPS yields, the realized and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
We document an annual cycle in the U.S. Treasury market, with variation in mean monthly returns of over 80 basis points from peak to trough. This seasonal Treasury return pattern does not arise due to macroeconomic seasonalities, seasonal variation in risk, cross-hedging between equity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020774
We develop a new variational Bayes estimation method for large-dimensional sparse vector autoregressive models with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239660
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
Consumption-CAPM, risk premia are weakly related to consumption volatility at short horizons whereas long-run past volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959125