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proposed. These expectation adjustments generate highly heterogenous consumption responses to income windfalls: many households … previous explanations for these effects, including consumption adjustment cost and liquidity constraints. At the aggregate … level, consumption is less sensitive to expansionary policies during recessions and its excess smoothness varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256389
Macroeconomic models often invoke consumption "habits" to explain the substantial persistence of macroeconomic … consumption growth. But a large literature has found no evidence of habits in the microeconomic datasets that measure the behavior … aggregate consumption growth reflects consumers' imperfect attention to aggregate shocks. Our proposed degree of (macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918032
Macroeconomic models often invoke consumption "habits" to explain the substantial persistence of macroeconomic … consumption growth. But a large literature has found no evidence of habits in the microeconomic datasets that measure the behavior … aggregate consumption growth reflects consumers' imperfect attention to aggregate shocks. Our proposed degree of (macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011916856
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011814269
Economic theory predicts that intertemporal decisions depend critically on expectations about future outcomes. Using the universe of professional survey forecasts for the United States, we document the behavior of the entire term structure of expectations for output growth, inflation, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660381
This paper estimates the elasticity of intertemporal substitution for the euro area. It leverages the unique design of the Consumer Expectations Survey in Europe to directly infer it from the Euler equation. Our final estimates range between 0.7 and 0.8 for the euro area as a whole, which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015152737
To predict the effects of the 2020 U.S. "CARES" act on consumption, we extend a model that matches responses of … households to past consumption stimulus packages. The extension allows us to account for two novel features of the coronavirus … likely be necessary if consumption spending is to recover. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241286
consumption and hypothetical debt decisions. Our findings suggest that real wealth mediates the sensitivity of consumption to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490357
beliefs about nominal debt and their own real net wealth. These changes in beliefs causally affect actual consumption and … hypothetical debt decisions. Our findings suggest that real wealth mediates the sensitivity of consumption to inflation once …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339966
wealth. These changes causally affect actual consumption and hypothetical debt decisions. Our findings suggest real wealth … mediates the sensitivity of consumption to inflation once households are aware of the wealth effects of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015175417