We build a structural small open economy model to examine the impact of monetary and macroprudential policy actions in a commodity exporting economy. The model incorporates labor market, credit market, macroprudential policy tools such as time-varying capital and reserve requirements, and shocks...

This paper examines macroeconomic effects and transmission mechanisms of COVID19 in Mongolia, a developing and commodity-exporting economy, by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregression on quarterly data. We find strong cross-border spillover effects of COVID-19. Our estimates...

This paper investigates the use of DMA approach for identifying good inflation predictors and forecasting inflation in Mongolia, one of the most commodity dependent economies, using dynamic model averaging (DMA). The DMA approach allows for both set of predictors for inflation and marginal...

This paper examines the effects of a mortgage interest rate subsidy on boom and bust in the housing market by exploiting the Housing Mortgage (HM) program implemented in Mongolia. Main results are (i) the recent housing boom occurred from 2012Q2 to 2014Q1, while the housing bust lasted four...

This paper examines the dynamics of bank lending, deposit rates and interest rate spread in Mongolia using both accounting framework and Markov Regime-Switching approach. The empirical analysis suggests that the high lending rate in Mongolia is compatible with underdeveloped stock market, low...

In this paper, we empirically examine the sudden stops in capital flows in Mongolia based on Calvo et al. (2004) approach in the past two decades. We found 5 episodes of sudden stops in capital flows and 5 episodes of sudden stops in domestic credits since 1998. Domestic sudden stops lasted...

This paper examines macroeconomic effects and transmission mechanisms of COVID19 in Mongolia, a developing and commodity-exporting economy, by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregression on quarterly data. We find strong cross-border spillover effects of COVID-19. Our estimates...

This paper examines macroeconomic impacts of Covid-19 and policy issues for recovery in Mongolia, a developing and commodity-exporting economy, by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregression on quarterly data. Our estimates suggest that China’s GDP and copper price shocks...