Showing 1 - 10 of 174,578
This paper documents a strong association between stock-bond (SB) correlations and monetary policy regimes for a sample of 10 developed markets. Negative stock-bond correlations are associated with periods of accommodating monetary policy, but only in times of low inflation. Irrespective of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942991
Previous research document the existence of long-run trends in comovements in the stock and bond markets. Following these findings, this paper examines possible trends in stock- bond return correlations. To this end, we introduce a trend component into a smooth transition regression (STR) model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950926
Investors rely on the stock-bond correlation for a variety of tasks, such as forming optimal portfolios, designing … hedging strategies, and assessing risk. Most investors estimate the stock-bond correlation simply by extrapolating the … historical correlation of monthly returns and assume that this correlation best characterizes the correlation of future, annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225162
This paper investigates the role of oil as a determinant of the US stock-bond correlation. The analysis uses monthly …, alongside a range of macroeconomic variables on the nature of stock-bond dynamic correlation. The outcome indicates that oil … supply and demand shocks along with economic policy uncertainty explain the stock-bond correlation amid recessionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257194
) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1 …-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is true when the stock-bond correlation is higher (more positive … markets and/or policymakers' under-reaction to the changing economic conditions implied by the stock-bond correlation; and (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
volatilities and the stock-bond correlation. I show that the stock-bond correlation increases in interest rate volatility and … decreases in cash-flow volatility. These results qualitatively explain the historical variation in the stock-bond correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917061
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132852
The correlation between stock and bond returns is a cornerstone of asset allocation decisions. The correlation can move … and magnitude of the stock-bond correlation. Our historical analyses across countries suggest that our findings are robust …. We apply these insights to analyze the implications of a shift in stock-bond correlation regime for the risk of multi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349506
We investigate long-run stock-bond correlation using a model that combines the dynamic conditional correlation model … with the mixed-data sampling approach and allows long-run correlation to be affected by macro-finance factors (historical …-bond correlation. Supporting the flight-to-quality phenomenon, long-run correlation tends to be small and negative when the economy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033824
In this paper we show that the long-run stock and bond volatility and the long-run stock-bond correlation depend on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025703