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This paper focuses on a key credit risk parameter – Loss Given Default (LGD). We illustrate how the LGD can be estimated with the help of an adjusted Mertonian structural approach. We present a derivation of the formula for expected LGD and show its sensitivity analysis with respect to...
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This paper describes the current stress-testing framework used at the Czech National Bank to test the resilience of the banking sector. Macroeconomic scenarios and satellite models linking macroeconomic developments with key risk parameters and assumptions for generating dynamic stock-flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010617568
This article sets out to describe an expanded and refined framework for stress testing the household sector. In contrast to the original tests conducted by the Czech National Bank since 2011, the new framework incorporates modelling of transitions between employment and unemployment at the level...
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This article presents the results of stress tests of the Czech banking sector conducted using models of credit risk and credit growth broken down by sector. The use of these models enables the stress tests to be linked to the CNB's official quarterly macroeconomic forecast. In addition, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568070
This article discusses the estimation of a key credit risk parameter – loss given default (LGD) – and calculates it for selected companies traded on the Prague Stock Exchange. The importance of estimating LGD stems from the fact that a lender’s expected loss is the product...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568077
This article focuses on the macroeconomic default rate model in the Czech economy. The aim is to produce a model allowing us to estimate the expected proportion of bad loans in the total loan portfolio of banks in response to the evolution of key macroeconomic indicators. The proportion of bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568080